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e-mail: jordantheistDELETETHIS@bellsouth.net

 

Cavin’s position is that his Twin Theory is more scientifically probable than Christ having resurrected. Cavin rejects all other secular explanations on the basis of scientific probabilities (Baye’s Theorem). He is convinced that his Twin Theory is the most probable explanation. His position assumes that only science can explain the event, eliminating the possibility that Christ proved Himself God.

 

Craig contends historians (rather than scientists) do not apply probabilities (Cavin is a science philosopher, not an historian). I side with Craig as to not applying scientific theorems to historical equations. So far as I can determine, if we did, the United States would not exist considering the probabilities of the end of the American Revolutionary War. Many great historical events are great because of their extremely low probability. The Resurrection offers one of the lowest probabilities. Perhaps, that makes it the greatest historical event.

 

I am sincere in claiming that the Twin Theory, indeed, would serve as a marvelous Mel Brooks or Woody Allen styled comedy. It is, for the truth seeker, absurd. That is my opinion, for to embrace the Twin Theory, one must accept:

 

1)      Jesus was mistakenly switched as a baby with another baby.

2)      The new Mary’s baby just so happened to have an identical twin.

3)      The twin had no knowledge of the Christ figure’s likeness until the twin just so happened to travel (by coincidence) to a city where his twin had just been crucified.

4)      The twin (quick to think) realized that he could claim his unknown twin’s identity, therefore allowing him the glamour of being a hated, despised, blasphemous, criminal whom the religious order and Roman authorities executed. Actually, had the mistaken identity placed the other twin on the cross, he most likely would have let the mistaken identity stand and hightail it out of that town. Or, at least consider he better leave soon before the authorities confused him for the criminal they sought. They might have also crucified him just to be safe they got the right guy.

5)      The twin either on his own or by enlisting the aid of others did away with Christ’s corpse.

6)      The twin cosmetically altered himself to reflect scars appropriate to that of a crucified person.

7)      The twin’s personal characteristics of speech, mannerisms, etc. were close enough to Christ’s that those who had been closest to Christ never detected the deceit.

8)      The twin’s motive remains to be learned.

9)      The Twin Theory does not account for Paul’s road-to-Damascus conversion.

10)   The Twin Theory does not explain what the 500 people saw when witnessing Christ’s ascension to heaven. To quote Cavin, “A mass hallucination to Jesus’ followers only would have involved 500-plus individuals having the same hallucination.” Apparently, he accepts the validity of the passage yet rejects mass-hallucination theory but offers no Twin Theory apologetic.

 

Perhaps Cavin’s upcoming book will enlighten us. Until then, it would be wise for us to discard scientific theorems from historical hypotheses and adhere to historians’ formulas such as Ocam’s Razor (i.e., the simplest explanation is the most likely). Or as Tim presents:

 

Instead of saying, "the simplest explanation is the most likely," I think Ocam's razor can be articulated more precisely as: "Do not increase the number of causes beyond what is necessary to explain something" (credit: Geisler).

 

 When applying Ocam’s Razor to the resurrection event, it actually complies with probabilities, for it is more probable that only one improbable happening (i.e., Christ resurrected) than numerous improbable happenings such as the items above took place.

 

I rest my case.

e-mail: jordantheistDELETETHIS@bellsouth.net

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